By Ben Bohane
Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s announcement of a harsh new asylum seeker policy is a gamble that he thinks will pay off for his Labor party desperate to neutralize this potent issue ahead of a looming election.
The decision to send all boat people for processing and resettlement in PNG is a huge bluff – Rudd is calculating that asylum seekers will no longer want to come to Australia now, if they know that there is no hope for resettlement and instead they will wind up permanently in PNG. It may stop the boats temporarily but is it likely to work long term?
Many observers see in this policy a political quick-fix that is not a long term solution, but it is difficult to meaningfully analyse the situation since there is still very little detail available. Rudd must know that there will be substantial protests and legal action. Courts in Australia and PNG will likely be asked to rule on whether this policy is even constitutional. The previous “Malaysian Solution” was thrown out by the Australian High Court, as was a previous attempt by Australia to deploy police to PNG some years ago by the PNG High Court.
The reality of this policy long term provokes many questions – where will these new “citizens” be resettled in a country where all land is customarily owned? What jobs can they get? Will this cause resentment from locals angry that refugees get better treatment than themselves? Many ordinary Papuan New Guineans will become NIMBYS on this – Not In My Backyard. (more…)